Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-07-20 0.483639 0.534961 0.590192 0.654175 0.726410 0.805610 0.899258
2025-07-27 0.404166 0.475471 0.557938 0.660902 0.786764 0.936553 1.129725
2025-08-03 0.357037 0.437592 0.535367 0.663858 0.829859 1.039258 1.326853
2025-08-10 0.324737 0.411266 0.520458 0.670077 0.872433 1.140484 1.528980
2025-08-17 0.291528 0.379147 0.493275 0.655139 0.882575 1.196536 1.673020
2025-08-24 0.272582 0.363290 0.484961 0.663168 0.922761 1.295510 1.886984
2025-08-31 0.252728 0.344042 0.469693 0.658999 0.943703 1.367165 2.066765
2025-09-07 0.237811 0.330172 0.460325 0.661691 0.973838 1.454038 2.278957
2025-09-14 0.221296 0.312573 0.443909 0.651928 0.983187 1.508447 2.443301
2025-09-21 0.207585 0.297962 0.430576 0.645326 0.996181 1.568899 2.623800
2025-09-28 0.190891 0.277710 0.407213 0.620879 0.977637 1.574624 2.707259
2025-10-05 0.184063 0.271926 0.405477 0.630624 1.016160 1.680294 2.985102
2025-10-12 0.176888 0.265280 0.402142 0.637824 1.051643 1.785495 3.279069
2025-10-19 0.170146 0.258880 0.398735 0.644587 1.086951 1.894144 3.595600
2025-10-26 0.163202 0.251662 0.393414 0.647449 1.115190 1.992127 3.903730
2025-11-02 0.157434 0.245964 0.390146 0.653489 1.149559 2.105093 4.259710
2025-11-09 0.148389 0.234293 0.376045 0.638981 1.143614 2.137518 4.442517
2025-11-16 0.143930 0.230043 0.374316 0.646780 1.181246 2.261870 4.853055
2025-11-23 0.137816 0.222612 0.366567 0.642730 1.194937 2.337587 5.160253
2025-11-30 0.133203 0.217498 0.362550 0.645345 1.222134 2.444764 5.560810
2025-12-07 0.127052 0.209365 0.352645 0.635862 1.223423 2.495078 5.825386
2025-12-14 0.121765 0.202486 0.344615 0.629450 1.230544 2.559098 6.135939
2025-12-21 0.114353 0.191463 0.328403 0.605702 1.198495 2.529776 6.190574